التغير في البنية العمرية وأثرها على الهيبة الديمغرافية في إقليم البطنان "دراسة جغرافية"

Abstract

The research aims to study the impact of demographic changes that the study area has undergone on the possibility of the emergence of the demographic window. The study relied on the historical approach and the descriptive analytical approach. The study concluded that the percentage of young people during the period (1973-2006 AD) ranged between 33.6 and 33.6%, respectively, while the percentage of the elderly ranged between 2.8 and 5.4% for the same period. The median age percentage also increased during the study period until it reached 27.6% in 2020 AD. As for the longevity index, the majority of the population fell into the percentage of less than 15%, while the total dependency ratio was high during the period (1973-1995 AD), then gradually decreased until it reached its lowest levels during the period (2006-2020 AD). All these demographic indicators indicated that the study area has actually entered the stage of demographic prestige, during the period (2006-2020 AD), which requires decision-makers and authorities The specialist in the study area is to exploit this demographic opportunity and invest it in increasing economic growth and achieving development programs, and confronting the most important challenges resulting from it, represented primarily by unemployment and the search for job opportunities.